Forex Weekly Technical Analysis: News & Trends (Mar 25–28, 2025)
March 25–31 Forex Outlook | Live & Free Analysis: In this week’s technical analysis on forex, EUR/USD is consolidating near the 1.0660 key support level, which sits over the 30-day SMA, signaling that the bulls vs. bear fight remains undecided in the wake of a surge earlier this month. Sentiment shifted as the prior uptrend failed to breach the 1.0950 resistance, marking bullish exhaustion. A bearish RSI divergence emerged, indicating weakening upside momentum. This was followed by a break below the 1.0830 mark, further strengthening the bearish outlook. The formation of a double top at 1.0950 reinforced selling pressure, with bears gaining control after failing to establish a new higher high. However, a confirmed break below 1.0660 on the 30-day SMA is needed to validate a sustained downtrend and open the door for further declines to 1.0400. This forms part of our weekly forex analysis free overview.

Forex Market Analysis & News – This Week (Mar 25–28): Today’s forex market analysis (Week of March 25) shows that gold has shown renewed buying interest, finding support at the psychological level of 3000 and gaining upward momentum in the short-term. The latest pullback was due to profit-taking and the broader bullish trend remains intact, with the price trading along the secondary short-term trendline from mid-March. The latest break above the 3057 all-time high would provide buyers with confirmation to target new all-time highs above 3100. As long as the RSI shows no signs of overshooting, the buy side may keep the pressure on and a limited retracement would be seen as a buy signal. Live forex analysis for this week highlights gold’s bullish continuation as long as support holds. The demand zone 2980-3000 is a major level to maintain the bullish fuel.

Forex fundamental analysis (Week of March 25) takes into account broader market sentiment, while on the daily chart, the Nasdaq Index has broken below the lower boundary of its rising channel from January 2023, suggesting a potential slowdown in the upward trend or a shift toward more sideways movement in the medium-to-long-term. Following the breakdown from its recent peak near 22,200, the index reached last September’s level of 19,190 before rebounding. However, the current formation still suggests a likelihood of further downside movement as buyers take some profit off the table. The index is now approaching resistance at 21,200, where a rejection could trigger renewed selling pressure. Conversely, a breakout above this level would signal renewed bullish momentum. Overall, the technical outlook remains slightly negative for the medium term, with the potential for further weakness unless resistance levels are decisively cleared.

Live Forex Analysis & High-Impact News – This Week: USD/JPY has broken out of its bearish trendline from mid-January after encountering support at 146.60. High impact forex news this week has played a role in shifting sentiment around major pairs like USD/JPY. A bullish MA cross and a series of higher lows despite a bearish engulfing candlestick formed at 150.00 indicate diminishing bearish pressure, reinforcing the prospect of an extended rebound. 152.80 is a major supply zone from last February’s failed bounce, where a bullish breakout would open the door to 155.60. On the downside, the 30-SMA offers dynamic support as the dollar tries to recoup its recent losses and 148.20 further below is a critical floor to maintain the recovery mood. However, if bears regain control, USD/JPY may establish a new downtrend, with a potential drop toward the 146.60 level.

AUD/USD has broken above the 30-SMA after finding strong support at 0.6260, signaling a potential bullish sentiment shift in the near term. Stabilization suggests the pair could retest the 0.6390 resistance level. On a broader scale, price action remains range-bound between 0.6200 support and 0.6410 resistance, indicating no clear mid-term directional commitment from either bulls or bears. Despite strong price swings, the overall structure suggests consolidation. While the move above the 30-SMA introduces short-term bullish momentum, the area around 0.6410 remains a key hurdle. If sellers step in at this level, the pair could resume its sideways or bearish trajectory. A decisive breakout above the aforementioned level, however, would signal a stronger bullish extension towards 0.6500.

Also Read : Weekly Forex Fundamentals & Market Outlook – March 27, 2025