Categories: News In the Spotlight

The Japanese Yen: The Hidden Safe Haven

The Japanese Yen acted like the safest major currency today after trading at the best level in two weeks amid a heavy U.S. Dollar sell-off. However, the aggressive Fed rate hike bets continued acting as a tailwind for the greenback and might find it as support.

Several factors helped the Samurai currency for the second consecutive day and dragged spot prices further away from over a two-decade low touched earlier this week. The predominant risk-off situation in the market boosted demand for the safe Yen. This, along with a further pullback in the U.S. Treasury bond yields, further inspired bearish traders and exerted downward pressure on the USDJPY pair.

However, the underlying bullish sentiment surrounding the Greenback could lend support to the USDJPY pair and curb the ongoing corrective slide. The headline and core U.S. CPI were strong enough to reinforce market bets for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed. In fact, money market futures are now pricing in an 81% chance of a 75 basis points rate hike in June. This should continue to fuel the U.S. Dollar amid a big divergence in the Fed and BoJ policy outlooks.

Long-Term Outlook

The USDJPY pair broke out of the upward channel into a corrective trend, it closed two candles out of the channel indicating a high possibility to touch the support of 127.

Furthermore, Fibonacci retracement is also showing a reading that the pair retreated from a strong resistance towards the 23.6 level at 127. Also, Fibonacci numbers show indicate that 127 is a critical level for the pair, as breaking it might increase the chances of a dive towards 124 or 123.

Technical indicators signal a continuation of the decline but there is no solid support appears in the calculations for the current data. However, the 20 periods moving average remains alongside the last candle signaling a possibility of forming support within the current levels.

Daily chart supports and resistance

SupportResistance
127.00130.50
124.00131.40
121.00134.00

Intra-day outlook

On the hourly chart, the pair is free diving breaking both supports at 130 and 128.90. Like the readings on the Daily chart, the pair is not showing any sign of slowing or bouncing before 127.10.

The 20 period moving average is signaling further decline, while the RSI is below 30 and showing the pair as oversold but still not ready to change direction. Both RSI and MACD agree about one thing, the pair is free-falling without a solid sign of support prior to 127.10.

shmarkets

Recent Posts

美国股票杠杆调整通知

尊敬的用户: 您好,为进一步提升STARTRADER的竞争力和优化客户的交易体验,从2024年11月25日起,所有美股产品的杠杆将进行调整。 调整详情如下: 产品代号 原杠杆 变更后杠杆 All US Shares美股 1:20 1:33 *所有日期均以 GMT+2 为准(MT4/MT5 服务器时间)。 强烈建议持仓客户相应管理您的仓位,因为上述工具的杠杆将于 2024…

3 days ago

双重认证(2FA):操作一小步,安全一大步

尊敬的客户 STARTRADER星迈始终把客户的利益放在首位,通过双重认证(2FA)为您的交易之旅保驾护航。您可点击此处查看启用流程,轻松完成设置。 双重认证,或称双因素认证,即2 Factor Authentication——2FA验证,是全球领先金融机构广泛使用的重要安全措施之一,用于进一步保障客户账户和支付的安全性。 迈出这关键的一步, 让双重认证(2FA)为您的交易之旅护航, 助您安全畅游交易世界,收获丰硕成果! 如果您有任何疑问或需要协助,请发送电子邮件至 info@startrader.com 或通过在线聊天 https://www.startrader.com/ 联系我们, 我们随时乐意为您提供帮助。

6 days ago

11月期货展期通知

尊敬的客户: 您好,我司期货产品十一月份的展期将至,因新旧期货合约之间存在价格差异,为规避潜在的交易风险,建议客户妥善控制仓位。 期货合约的展期时间如下: 产品代号 产品名称 展期日 FRA40ft France 40 Index Future法国CAC40指数(期货) 2024-11-14 CL-OIL Crude Oil…

2 weeks ago

11月闭市通知

尊敬的客户: 您好,受即将到来11月份假期影响,STARTRADER的交易时间将有所调整。 请参考下表了解涉及调整的产品情况: 日期 2024年11月4日 2024年11月11日 2024年11月15日 2024年11月20日 假期 万圣节 卡塔赫纳独立日 共和国日 黑人意识日 BVSPX巴西股指(圣保罗指数) 正常…

3 weeks ago

即将到来的美国夏令时调整交易时间

尊敬的客户: 请注意,由于2024年11月3日实施的美国夏令时变化,以下产品的交易时间将会调整。 产品代号 交易时间 (GMT+2) Cocoa美国可可豆现货 星期一~星期四: 11:45-20:30星期五: 11:45-20:27 Coffee阿拉比卡咖啡豆现货 星期一~星期四: 11:15-20:30星期五: 11:15-20:27 Sugar11号精糖现货 星期一~星期四:…

3 weeks ago

11月闭市通知

尊敬的客户: 您好,受即将到来11月份假期影响,STARTRADER的交易时间将有所调整。 请参考下表了解涉及调整的产品情况: 日期 2024年11月1日 假期 万圣节 USDCLP美元兑智利披索 闭市 USDINR美元兑印度卢比 闭市 *所有日期均为GMT+3(MT4/MT5服务器时间) 请注意:在市场流动性下降情况下,点差可能会较正常平均水平显著扩大,我们建议客户在交易时要妥善管理仓位、确保账户资金充足,并且进行谨慎交易。 如果您有任何疑问或需要任何帮助,请随时发送电子邮件至 info@startrader.com 或透过线上聊天 https://www.startrader.com/ 联系我们。 感谢您的支持!STARTRADER团队

3 weeks ago